Bloomberg предсказывает биткоин на уровне $10 000 в 2026 году: подготовьтесь к экономическому шторму Translation: Bloomberg predicts bitcoin at $10,000 in 2026: prepare for an economic storm

In 2026, the value of the original cryptocurrency may plummet to $10,000, signaling a recession in the U.S. economy, according to Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence.

«We should soon hear from stock market analysts (who risk losing their jobs if they don’t support this) about a healthy correction following the collapse of cryptocurrencies. The mantra of ‘buying the dips’, which has been effective since 2008, may no longer hold true,» the expert noted.

He referred to several factors indicating an increased level of risk:

McGlone presented a chart comparing the S&P 500 index and the price of Bitcoin (divided by 10), with both metrics fluctuating below 7,000 points. He believes that the highly beta-dependent cryptocurrency is unlikely to maintain this level when the metric weakens for stocks.

The analyst set a target of 5,600 for the «initial normal return» of the index, which implies a goal of $56,000 for Bitcoin.

Further, according to his base scenario, the digital asset could retreat to a price of $10,000 depending on when the U.S. stock market peaks.

In December, McGlone first warned that Bitcoin might drop to this level. At that time, the price was above $86,000. The expert pointed out that a potential crash in high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies could trigger an economic recession in the United States.

At the beginning of February, McGlone reiterated his prediction. Bitcoin was trading near $79,000 and subsequently fell below that mark.

Since the start of the year, digital gold has declined by nearly 23%. With a current February loss of -14%, it could mark the fifth consecutive month of decline for the cryptocurrency.

Co-founder of AdLunam and market analyst Jason Fernandez commented for CoinDesk that the Bloomberg Intelligence strategist’s thesis suggests:

«This is a misleading comparison and a bias towards a one-dimensional outcome. Markets can also eliminate excess over time through rotation or reducing inflation,» he stated.

According to Fernandez, a macroeconomic slowdown could lead to the consolidation or restructuring of cryptocurrency in the $40,000 to $50,000 range.

A fall to $10,000 would likely require a «real systemic event» that results in a drastic reduction in liquidity, widening credit spreads, forced deleveraging of funds, and an uncontrolled stock market crash.

«This implies a recession plus financial stress, rather than just a slowdown in growth. In the absence of a credit shock or a political mistake that drains global liquidity, such a collapse remains an unlikely risk factor,» he emphasized.

It’s worth noting that analysts at K33 Research suggested that the Bitcoin dip on February 6 to $60,000 marked a local bottom before a consolidation phase. However, CryptoQuant expressed doubts about the end of the correction.

Standard Chartered has anticipated a drop in digital gold to $50,000, followed by a rebound.