Аналитик предсказывает «плато» для биткоина до 2027 года Headline: Analyst predicts a plateau for Bitcoin until 2027

Throughout 2026, it is unlikely that the first cryptocurrency will set a new historical peak. This perspective was shared by Kit Alan, co-founder of the trading platform Material Indicators.

According to him, Bitcoin’s current movement is influenced by the ongoing tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The expert believes that a return to $87,000 is merely a matter of time.

At present, bulls are trying to maintain a defensive line at the $92,000 level, while whales are focusing on a more thorough test of support near the yearly opening price of $87,000.

*“Their aim is to wait for the formation of a ‘golden cross’ on the daily chart, which will signal the next stage of growth,”* Alan remarked.

This refers to the crossing of the 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA). Typically, the short-term SMA moving above the long-term SMA is interpreted as a resumption of upward momentum on shorter time frames.

However, before this “inevitable” step occurs, the market must return to the level of the year’s opening for a reassessment of its strength.

The long-term outlook also appears uncertain, the analyst emphasized. A combination of several bearish signals indicates that the BTC/USD pair is unlikely to break historical highs before 2027.

*“A lot can change in six months that could refute this scenario; however, at this moment, it’s easier to construct a logical model where the price declines after the current bullish impulse fades,”* Alan stated.

To confirm a reversal, the market must meet two key conditions:

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $90,000, having dropped 2.3% in the last 24 hours.

Previously, a prolonged sideways trend was predicted by CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju. He indicated that the influx of capital into the first cryptocurrency has dried up, with liquidity shifting towards stocks and gold.

Many experts anticipate Bitcoin will reach new historical peaks in 2026. Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, stated that for the crypto market to achieve an all-time high (ATH), it must surpass three “checkpoints.”

First and foremost, he emphasized the successful passage of the Clarity Act through the U.S. Congress. Its approval would create legal clarity and provide a foundation for the long-term growth of the industry, the expert believes.

The second condition is the complete dissipation of the effects from the October 10-11, 2025 crash, during which liquidation volume exceeded $19 billion in one day. According to Hougan, the market has not been able to resume growth in the fourth quarter due to community concerns about potential sell-offs by large market makers.

*“The ghost of these sales loomed over the market like a dense fog. But there’s good news: if such a sell-off were going to happen, it likely would have occurred by now. […] I believe that one of the factors that enabled the market to *become bullish* at the beginning of this year was that investors left October 10 behind,”* the expert noted.

The third factor highlighted by Hougan is the overall stability of the stock market. While the direct correlation is low, sharp fluctuations on Wall Street—such as a 20% drop in the S&P 500—will negatively impact cryptocurrencies.

*“I don’t claim to have special expertise regarding the stock market. Some are concerned about a bubble in the AI sector, but currently, predictive markets assess the probability of a recession in 2026 as relatively low, with the likelihood of S&P 500 growth at around 80%,”* he concluded.

Recall that in late December, SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci and Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz forecasted the beginning of a strong rally in the crypto market in 2026.