Opinion: Ракетный старт новой платформы предсказаний с объемом $3,1 млрд за первый месяц Headline: Opinion: A Rocket Start for the New Prediction Platform with $3.1 Billion Volume in Its First Month

The prediction platform Opinion achieved over $3.1 billion in trading volume during its first month of operation. This sets a new record for platforms launched after April 2024, as reported by Messari.

The Opinion team launched the platform on October 24 on the BNB Chain. As of November 17, the average daily trading volume was $132.5 million. The open interest (OI) reached $60.9 million, placing it third in the industry behind Kalshi ($302.1 million) and Polymarket ($250.5 million).

From November 11 to 17, Opinion led the prediction markets with a nominal volume of $1.5 billion, accounting for 40.4% of the combined total from Opinion, Kalshi, and Polymarket ($3.7 billion).

“The platform has become the third prediction market following Polymarket and Kalshi, which has held the top position weekly since April 2024, when weekly volumes in the sector first exceeded $20 million,” the report states.

Between October 24 and November 17, Opinion processed an average of 25,300 transactions per day. The peak occurred on October 25 with 71,500 transactions, while the lowest was recorded on November 4 with 9,700 transactions. Daily activity gradually increased as new markets were launched.

During the same period, the number of unique users surpassed 62,400, with a record influx of new users on November 8, reaching 17,600 in a single day.

According to data from Dune as of December 4, the cumulative volume of Opinion exceeded $5.74 billion, with open interest at $62 million. For comparison:

The Opinion team is developing a four-tiered architecture:

Opinion AI automates the creation and resolution of markets. The system converts simple requests into full contracts with event descriptions, outcome options, expiration dates, and calculation criteria. Results are validated by a “jury” of several AI models—Claude, ChatGPT, and Grok—followed by confirmation from independent experts.

To provide objective data—including macroeconomic statistics and cryptocurrency prices—the platform utilizes Chainlink oracles.

In March 2025, Opinion raised $5 million in a seed round led by YZi Labs (formerly Binance Labs) and Animoca Ventures. The team aims to focus on macroeconomic data markets and attract institutional users.

The launch of Metapool and Opinion Protocol is anticipated in 2026.

Recall that on November 25, Galaxy founder Mike Novogratz revealed plans to enter the prediction market.