Эксперты предсказывают рост крипторынка в октябре, несмотря на индекс страха Translation: Experts predict a rise in the crypto market in October, despite the fear index.

The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 28 points, marking its lowest level since March 2025. This decline coincided with a brief dip in Bitcoin’s price, falling below $110,000.

Despite this, analysts observe signs of a potential market bottom and anticipate a rise in October.

According to CryptoQuant analyst JA Maarturn, investor sentiment has deteriorated from a neutral score of 40 points in August to one of «extreme fear.»

In this context, Bitcoin and Ethereum fell last week below crucial psychological levels of $110,000 and $4,000, respectively. However, the dip was short-lived—by the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price had rebounded to $113,311, while Ethereum was trading above $4,100, as per CoinGecko.

Bitwise Asset Management believes that the current state might signal the end of the downtrend phase. Analysts noted that sellers appear to be «increasingly exhausted.»

«Last week, sentiment reached the level of ‘extreme fear’ twice, yet Bitcoin demonstrated relative resilience, holding around $108,000. This level serves as strong support,» stated Bitwise.

Glassnode’s data supports this assertion. The service indicates that short-term holders are currently realizing net losses. Historically, such capitulation periods often lay the groundwork for long-term rallies.

«We see October as a pivotal month due to the Commission’s shift towards standardized listings for spot exchange-traded funds. This could shorten the approval timelines for applications and open a new flow of institutional capital,» said Lee.

The expert predicted the price of digital gold could rise to a range of $100,000–130,000, while Ethereum could reach between $3,600–5,500 in response to positive ETF news.

Simultaneously, another trend is emerging in the market. JA Maarturn highlighted that the share of altcoins in the trading volume of futures on Binance has hit a historical high of 82.3%.

This figure even surpassed the peak altseason levels of 2021.

This indicates a shift in traders’ focus from the primary cryptocurrency to more volatile assets in search of higher returns.

At QCP, they also confirmed a resurgence of optimism in the perpetual futures market. Open interest in Bitcoin has risen from $42.8 billion to $43.6 billion.

However, QCP warned that for a sustainable upward trend to be confirmed, Bitcoin’s price must establish itself above the $115,000 level.

As a reminder, in September, analysts from XWIN Research reported that the implied volatility of the first cryptocurrency had dropped to its lowest level since 2023.