Искусственный интеллект не спровоцировал кризис на американском рынке труда, утверждают исследователи Translation: Headline: Artificial Intelligence Has Not Caused a Crisis in the American Labor Market, Researchers Claim

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence has not significantly affected the job market in the United States, according to experts from Budget Lab at Yale University.

The report highlights that since the launch of ChatGPT in November 2022, there have been no «major disruptions» reported. Researchers argue that this is unsurprising, as structural changes in the labor market take decades to develop rather than just months or years.

«Computers became a standard tool in offices nearly a decade after they were introduced to the mass market, and it took even longer for them to transform work processes. Even if new AI technologies have a strong or even more dramatic impact on the job market, it is reasonable to expect that widespread effects will emerge later than 33 months,» the document states.

In 2021, the professional structure of employment in the U.S. underwent significant changes, with shifts in the types of jobs people were doing and a decrease in the number of workers in certain sectors. The subsequent changes have not appeared as pronounced.

Experts emphasized that these shifts are «sluggish» compared to the upheavals in the labor market during the 1940s and 1950s, which were caused by World War II.

There are public concerns that the development of generative artificial intelligence might automate certain work processes and lead to mass layoffs.

The sectors most at risk include media, film production, and business services such as accounting. The report indicates that changes in the professional structure of these industries were already evident prior to the launch of the revolutionary chatbot.

«While anxiety about the impact of AI on the labor market is widespread today, our data suggests that these fears are largely speculative. The overall picture shows stability rather than large-scale upheavals in the economy,» the report concludes.

Experts noted that the implementation of artificial intelligence is still in its early stages, and their analysis does not predict future outcomes.

Previously, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated that many current support staff working over the phone or computer may lose their jobs due to AI. He believes that the displacement of certain jobs could lead to the emergence of new ones.