Биткоин может упасть до $50 000 в 2026 году, предсказывает эксперт Bloomberg Translation: Bitcoin could fall to $50,000 in 2026, predicts Bloomberg expert.

Mike McGlone, Bloomberg Intelligence’s senior commodities strategist, anticipates that the price of Bitcoin will drop approximately 60% from its historical peak above $126,000 by 2026.

*»Will Bitcoin be worth $50,000 or $150,000 by 2026? I’m leaning towards $50,000, especially if the S&P 500 falls for a third consecutive year like it did in 2008,»* the expert stated.

McGlone believes that a combination of rapid gold price increases and declining oil prices, alongside stock market volatility, will lead investors to steer clear of risky assets such as cryptocurrencies. He emphasized that these factors could trigger a sell-off with «unlimited supply.»

On November 21, Friday, Bitcoin plunged to around $82,000—its lowest level since April. After a subsequent bounce, the price peaked at approximately $87,900. As of the time of writing, the digital asset is trading near $86,400.

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, suggests that Bitcoin is likely to experience another drop to $80,000 soon. However, he clarified that this price level would hold.

Hayes points to positive factors for the price of digital gold, such as the Federal Reserve’s cessation of quantitative tightening on December 1 and an increase in bank lending in November. However, he noted that this influx of liquidity will only impact the market toward the end of the year.

Citigroup remarked that, following the October downturn in cryptocurrencies, investors’ risk appetite has sharply declined, as reported by CoinDesk.

Long-term holders of Bitcoin are increasingly anxious about facing a second weak year for the asset following the last halving, which contradicts historical cycles.

In their baseline scenario, analysts at the bank expected inflows into BTC ETFs to reach $7.5 billion by the end of the year. Investment Bitcoin products have already lost $4.92 billion since the beginning of November.

According to Citigroup experts, their bearish forecast of $82,000 will likely materialize by early 2026. A crucial level for ETF investors is set at $80,000.

Positive developments, like a capital inflow recovery into exchange-traded funds and breakthroughs in U.S. industry regulation, could drive Bitcoin’s price up to $181,000 within the next 12 months.

Previously, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan noted that Bitcoin likely reached a bottom in its previous decline but acknowledged the possibility of a new drop closer to $70,000.

Andrei Dragosh, head of research at the European division of the company, echoed the opinion of the investment director.

*»In the short term, Bitcoin may trade lower until a clear bullish catalyst appears. However, these will represent ‘bargain’ valuations and very attractive entry points for increasing positions in the asset,»* he stated in an interview with DL News.

Dragosh anticipates strong support for the cryptocurrency in the $81,000 to $73,000 range—the base price for BlackRock’s ETF coins. Below these levels, he is confident that Bitcoin will be aggressively bought up.

He noted that the current correction «matches previous bull markets both in depth and duration.» A trend reversal could occur at any moment with a clear catalyst, such as a continuation of the Fed’s quantitative easing or bond market volatility prompting regulator intervention.

*»We still expect the continued bullish cycle of Bitcoin in 2026 due to the easing of monetary policy globally, which typically impacts global growth conditions and risk appetite with considerable lag,»* concluded Dragosh.

GSR analyst Carlos Guzman identified three factors negatively affecting the current market standing of digital gold.

Expectations that the Fed will lower the key rate following its December 10 meeting surged to 77%, up from 42% a week ago. However, uncertainty remains about the regulator’s decision due to the prolonged government shutdown preventing the release of key economic data.

Fears of a bubble in the AI sector are also mounting. Following Nvidia’s positive quarterly report, the stock of one of the industry leaders rose by 5% but then corrected by 3.1%.

*»This volatility has spilled over into the crypto market, which typically moves in tandem with tech stocks,»* said Guzman.

The third factor he mentioned is the *»persistent weakness and pessimism, as well as declining liquidity,»* resulting from the October crash.

It’s worth noting that if Bitcoin’s price holds below $80,000, the risk of a more significant decline substantially increases, according to an analyst identified as Crypto Dan.